Results
As your computers return results, we will post what we learn from them here. Some entries will be findings about orbital debris; others will be about the project itself: checks of the simulation, and changes we made because of what the results showed. The maps of the full sweep will appear here as they fill in.
Beta test results
November 2026
The first beta test ran 40,000 simulations of 100 scenarios on volunteers' computers. Most of the scenarios end in a runaway collision cascade within a few decades, and a handful of settings decide how soon. The beta also showed that our yes/no test for a cascade got some runs wrong, which led us to change it before the main run. The page has interactive charts: hover over them for the numbers behind each point.